Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 27
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2 weeks ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 27
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1025 AM EST Wed Mar 5 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Maryland
Eastern/Southeastern Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1025 AM until
600 PM EST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A convective line is expected to continue
eastward/northeastward into more of eastern/southeastern VA and
southern MD over the next several hours. Strong wind fields across
the region will support the potential for damaging gusts within this
line. A low probability for a brief tornado or two also exists.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 75 miles west southwest
of Richmond VA to 20 miles east of Patuxent River MD. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 26...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Mosier
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 27 SEVERE TSTM MD VA CW 051525Z - 052300Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
75WSW RIC/RICHMOND VA/ - 20E NHK/PATUXENT RIVER MD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /33ESE LYH - 25W SBY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 37737857 38937605 37637605 36437857
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 27 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 27
VALID 051640Z - 051740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..03/05/25
ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 27
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC009-017-019-037-039-045-047-051740-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALVERT CHARLES DORCHESTER
ST. MARYS SOMERSET WICOMICO
WORCESTER
$$
VAC001-007-025-033-036-041-049-053-057-065-073-075-085-087-097-
099-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-127-131-133-135-137-145-147-149-
159-177-179-193-570-630-670-730-760-051740-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK AMELIA BRUNSWICK
CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHESTERFIELD
CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE ESSEX
FLUVANNA GLOUCESTER GOOCHLAND
HANOVER HENRICO KING AND QUEEN
KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM LANCASTER
LOUISA LUNENBURG MATHEWS
MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX NEW KENT
NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY
ORANGE POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD
PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD WESTMORELAND
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
COLONIAL HEIGHTS FREDERICKSBURG HOPEWELL
PETERSBURG RICHMOND
$$
ANZ533-534-536-537-541-542-543-630-631-635-636-650-652-654-
051740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
RAPPAHANNOCK RIVER FROM URBANNA TO WINDMILL POINT
YORK RIVER
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (5%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Low (10%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (<5%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (70%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.