Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 20
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
815 AM CST Tue Mar 4 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
Western and Northern Louisiana
East Texas
* Effective this Tuesday morning and afternoon from 815 AM until
300 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A broken squall line will continue east into the Watch
area this morning. A destabilizing airmass near and immediately
ahead of this strong to severe thunderstorm activity will aid in a
severe risk continuing eastward through the early afternoon.
Scattered severe gusts and a risk for tornadoes will be the primary
hazards with the stronger storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of Pine Bluff AR to
60 miles southwest of Fort Polk LA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 18...WW 19...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25045.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 20 TORNADO AR LA TX 041415Z - 042100Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NW PBF/PINE BLUFF AR/ - 60SW POE/FORT POLK LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /16S LIT - 44WNW LCH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.
LAT...LON 34419092 30439263 30439515 34419356
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 20 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 20
VALID 041535Z - 041640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE UTS
TO 30 SE GGG TO 35 SSE TXK TO 45 SW HOT TO 35 WNW HOT.
..BENTLEY..03/04/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 20
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-019-025-027-039-041-043-053-057-059-069-
073-079-097-099-103-109-139-041640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLARK
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA DALLAS
DESHA DREW GRANT
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LINCOLN MONTGOMERY
NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE
UNION
$$
LAC003-011-013-015-017-021-027-031-039-043-049-059-061-067-069-
073-079-081-083-085-111-115-119-123-127-041640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE
BOSSIER CADDO CALDWELL
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO EVANGELINE
GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE
LINCOLN MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RAPIDES RED RIVER
RICHLAND SABINE UNION
VERNON WEBSTER WEST CARROLL
WINN
$$
TXC005-241-347-351-365-403-405-419-457-041640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA JASPER NACOGDOCHES
NEWTON PANOLA SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TYLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Mod (30%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (60%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Low (20%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (20%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (90%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.