Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15
4 min read
2 weeks ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 15
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM CST Sun Mar 2 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Oklahoma
Western North Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
700 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will move quickly east-northeastward this
afternoon and early evening while posing a threat for large hail up
to 1-1.5 inches in diameter and 60-70 mph winds. Although low-level
moisture remains limited, a tornado or two may also occur with any
sustained supercell.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles northwest of
Clinton OK to 50 miles southwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
22035.
...Gleason
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 15
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM CST Sun Mar 2 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Oklahoma
Western North Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
700 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will move quickly east-northeastward this
afternoon and early evening while posing a threat for large hail up
to 1-1.5 inches in diameter and 60-70 mph winds. Although low-level
moisture remains limited, a tornado or two may also occur with any
sustained supercell.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles northwest of
Clinton OK to 50 miles southwest of Wichita Falls TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
22035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 15 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 022010Z - 030100Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15NW CSM/CLINTON OK/ - 50SW SPS/WICHITA FALLS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /57SSE MMB - 41SW SPS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
LAT...LON 35489859 33459833 33459989 35480019
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 15 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (10%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (10%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (20%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (70%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
