Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 123

   Mesoscale Discussion 0123
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0534 PM CST Sun Mar 02 2025

   Areas affected...portions of western OK

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15...

   Valid 022334Z - 030030Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe potential has rapidly diminished late this
   afternoon across western Oklahoma. A new watch downstream from
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch 15 is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...Convection has continued to weaken with north and east
   extent across southwest/western OK this afternoon. As thunderstorm
   continue to shift northeast toward central OK, low-level moisture
   will rapidly decrease in tandem with weakening midlevel lapse rates.
   Together this will result in meager elevated instability
   insufficient for maintaining deep updrafts supporting severe
   convection. As such, a downstream watch is not expected and WW 15
   will either be cancelled early or allowed to expire as scheduled at
   7pm CST.

   ..Leitman.. 03/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...

   LAT...LON   35869900 35899823 35429774 34919794 34749832 34729871
               34879918 35439931 35869900