Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 657

   Mesoscale Discussion 0657
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0354 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025

   Areas affected...portions of far eastern Texas...central and
   northern Louisiana...and central Mississippi

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211...

   Valid 022054Z - 022230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch 211. Large hail and damaging gusts remain possible with the
   stronger storms.

   DISCUSSION...Multicellular convection persists amid a moderately
   unstable but weakly sheared airmass across portions of far eastern
   TX into central MS. Ahead of the storms, surface temperatures remain
   in the upper 70s to mid 80s F amid upper 60s F dewpoints, with
   MLCAPE exceeding 2500 J/kg in spots. Multicellular clusters that
   continue to progress eastward into this more buoyant air will
   continue to pose a threat for at least marginally severe hail and
   strong wind gusts.

   ..Squitieri.. 05/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   31789456 32569392 33429136 34298855 33788831 33108838
               32588865 31909031 30959236 30639345 30559404 30649446
               31789456 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN