Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 652

   Mesoscale Discussion 0652
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0158 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025

   Areas affected...central/eastern OH and western PA

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 210...

   Valid 021858Z - 022100Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 210
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Isolated quarter to half-dollar size hail along with
   localized strong gusts to around 60 mph should persist into early
   evening.

   DISCUSSION...Deeper convective cores have persisted just ahead of a
   weak cold front lagging in western OH. Numerous, but shallower
   updrafts, are present farther east-southeast in southern OH to
   western PA, where large-scale ascent is weaker. Area VWP data
   depicts nearly unidirectional southwesterly flow across the region,
   stronger closer to Lake Erie and diminishing south towards the OH
   River. Sporadic small to marginally severe hail should remain the
   overarching threat, but an increase in localized damaging winds may
   occur towards early evening as cells loosely consolidate and weaken.

   ..Grams.. 05/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

   LAT...LON   41588141 41688054 41878002 41927964 41937951 41637921
               41227914 40987917 40787933 40218043 39548170 39238222
               39048274 39098329 39838302 40638247 41328186 41588141 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN