Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 629

   Mesoscale Discussion 0629
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0933 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of the Mid-South

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 201...

   Valid 010233Z - 010330Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 201
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Risk of locally damaging wind gusts persists with an MCS
   tracking eastward across the Mid-South.

   DISCUSSION...A north/south-oriented MCS continues tracking eastward
   across the Mid-South at around 30-40 kt. Despite some weakening of
   this system, the well-established cold pool and around 40 kt of 0-6
   km shear (per NQA VWP) is supporting embedded severe wind gusts
   (recent measured gusts of 55-65 mph in northwest MS). As the MCS
   continues eastward amid increasing nocturnal inhibition, continued
   weakening is expected. Therefore, a downstream watch is not
   currently expected, though convective trends will be monitored.

   ..Weinman/Smith.. 05/01/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...

   LAT...LON   33409021 33259061 33389089 33969062 35079028 35649031
               36109046 36269031 36308995 36128960 35558957 34498968
               33918987 33409021 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH