Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179
4 min read
21 hours ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 179
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 PM MDT Sun Apr 27 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Montana
Southwest North Dakota
Western South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 435 PM until Midnight MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe storm development is expected across the region
through the remainder of the afternoon into early/mid-evening, with
large hail expected to the most probable risk, with damaging winds
and possibly some/brief tornado risk as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest
of Baker MT to 35 miles east southeast of Rapid City SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...Guyer
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 179
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
435 PM MDT Sun Apr 27 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Montana
Southwest North Dakota
Western South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 435 PM until Midnight MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe storm development is expected across the region
through the remainder of the afternoon into early/mid-evening, with
large hail expected to the most probable risk, with damaging winds
and possibly some/brief tornado risk as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles west northwest
of Baker MT to 35 miles east southeast of Rapid City SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 179 SEVERE TSTM MT ND SD 272235Z - 280600Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45WNW BHK/BAKER MT/ - 35ESE RAP/RAPID CITY SD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /37ENE MLS - 27ESE RAP/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 46590344 43840080 43840401 46590681
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 179 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 179
VALID 272335Z - 280040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..04/27/25
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...BIS...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 179
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC011-017-025-075-087-280040-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CUSTER FALLON
POWDER RIVER ROSEBUD
$$
NDC001-011-087-280040-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOWMAN SLOPE
$$
SDC019-033-047-055-063-081-093-103-105-137-280040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTTE CUSTER FALL RIVER
HAAKON HARDING LAWRENCE
MEADE PENNINGTON PERKINS
ZIEBACH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (5%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (30%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (70%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.