Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173

Note: 
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   SEL3

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 173
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   240 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Southeast New Mexico
     West Texas

   * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until
     1000 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
       inches in diameter likely
     Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...Isolated thunderstorms are forecast to develop and
   intensify this afternoon into the evening.  Initially storms will
   likely focus near the higher terrain but will eventually move east
   into lower elevations.  The stronger storms will likely become
   supercells with both left and right splitting supercells possible. 
   Large to very large hail will be the primary risk with these storms.
    A tornado is possible during the early evening as low-level winds
   strengthen.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
   statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles east northeast
   of Carlsbad NM to 45 miles southwest of Fort Stockton TX. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 172...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   27010.

   ...Smith

Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

   SAW3 
   WW 173 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 251940Z - 260300Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   55ENE CNM/CARLSBAD NM/ - 45SW FST/FORT STOCKTON TX/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /46N INK - 27ENE MRF/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27010.

   LAT...LON 32630237 30450245 30450446 32630443

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU3.

Watch 173 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 173

VALID 252145Z - 252240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..HALBERT..04/25/25

ATTN...WFO...MAF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 173 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC015-252240-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

EDDY		     
$$


TXC003-103-109-135-243-301-371-389-475-495-252240-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDREWS 	     CRANE		 CULBERSON	     
ECTOR		     JEFF DAVIS 	 LOVING 	     
PECOS		     REEVES		 WARD		     
WINKLER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 173

VALID 252040Z - 252140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..MOORE..04/25/25

ATTN...WFO...MAF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 173 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC015-252140-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

EDDY		     
$$


TXC003-103-109-135-243-301-371-389-475-495-252140-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANDREWS 	     CRANE		 CULBERSON	     
ECTOR		     JEFF DAVIS 	 LOVING 	     
PECOS		     REEVES		 WARD		     
WINKLER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Note:
 Click for Complete Product Text.

Tornadoes

Wind

Hail

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.