Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 220

   Mesoscale Discussion 0220
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0343 AM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025

   Areas affected...East central Georgia to the eastern Florida
   Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 50...

   Valid 160843Z - 161015Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues.

   SUMMARY...Threat for occasional wind damage and a couple of
   tornadoes will persist through the morning.

   DISCUSSION...A forced, pre-frontal convective band is moving from
   central toward east central GA, with the band largely oriented
   parallel to the deep-layer flow/shear vectors.  The QLCS in central
   GA is moving along the edge of the near-surface destabilization, and
   close to the 70 kt low-level jet core.  Despite the weak
   near-surface buoyancy, occasional damaging gusts and a tornado or
   two could occur with embedded circulations, especially more
   north-south oriented segments.  Stronger buoyancy is located farther
   to the southwest, where 68-70 F dewpoints have spread inland to
   extreme southwest GA and the eastern FL Panhandle.  The more
   cellular storm mode in this area suggests some potential for
   occasional supercell structures, though low-level shear will slowly
   weaken through the morning as the low-level jet develops
   northeastward toward SC.

   ..Thompson.. 03/16/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

   LAT...LON   32928311 33548277 33778217 33568193 32888218 32198252
               31598306 31018363 30378419 29948467 29758515 30348515
               31708435 32928311