Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 191
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Mesoscale Discussion 191 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0191 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0109 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025 Areas affected...Western OH into central/southern IN and central KY Concerning...Severe potential...Tornado Watch likely Valid 150609Z - 150745Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Broken band of severe storms will spread east of the current tornado watches, with the potential for a new watch by 07z from western OH into southern IN and central KY. DISCUSSION...A broken band of supercells with a history of tornadoes and damaging winds will continue to spread eastward through the early morning hours. 70-80 kt south-southwesterly flow in the lowest 2 km AGL, sampled by regional VWPs, will support continued moistening near and just above the surface, in advance of the ongoing convection. Though buoyancy will be weaker with time and eastward extent and storm mode should evolve into more line segments and clusters, destabilization should remain sufficient for a threat for wind damage and a few tornadoes. A new tornado watch will likely need to be considered for areas from southern IN and western OH into central KY by roughly 07z. ..Thompson/Smith.. 03/15/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH... LAT...LON 40048669 40578592 40538397 39708414 37498512 36838572 36688615 36708670 37028704 38938666 40048669 |
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2025-03-15 06:46:03