Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 25
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Mesoscale Discussion 25 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0025 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1227 PM CST Thu Jan 09 2025 Areas affected...Portions of the Texas Panhandle into northwest Oklahoma Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 091827Z - 092230Z SUMMARY...A nearly stationary band of heavy snow with rates around 0.5-1 inch per hour (locally 1.5 inch) should persist across portions of the TX Panhandle into northwest OK for much of the afternoon. DISCUSSION...The latest radar data from KAMA depicts an increasingly organized band of moderate to locally heavy snow extending from the TX Panhandle into northwest OK. This organized band is likely being aided by a strengthening low/mid-level frontogenetic circulation ahead of the primary large-scale trough. Given the slow motion of the trough, and an embedded impulse tracking east-northeastward across the TX South Plains (evident in WV imagery), this band should remain persistent and nearly stationary through much of the afternoon. Steep midlevel lapse rates (sampled by earlier observed soundings) are likely supporting a convective enhancement to snowfall rates, and recent visible satellite imagery corroborates this as well. As a result, 0.5-1 inch per hour rates (locally 1.5 inch) should persist under the core of the snow band before it becomes less organized. ..Weinman.. 01/09/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA... LAT...LON 35190283 35940131 36599959 36719919 36549901 36299911 35909978 35110133 34480241 34730287 35190283 |
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2025-01-09 18:31:02