Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 2
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
135 PM CST Sun Jan 5 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far Eastern Arkansas
Eastern and Southeast Louisiana
Southwest into Central and Northern Mississippi
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 135 PM until
900 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will likely continue
to develop ahead a squall line this afternoon and evening. The more
intense storms will likely be supercellular and pose a risk for
tornadoes, a couple of which may be strong. Scattered damaging
gusts and a risk for a tornado will also accompany the squall line
as it pushes east across the Watch area this afternoon through the
evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 5 miles east northeast of Oxford MS to
75 miles south southeast of Alexandria LA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Smith
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 2
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
135 PM CST Sun Jan 5 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far Eastern Arkansas
Eastern and Southeast Louisiana
Southwest into Central and Northern Mississippi
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 135 PM until
900 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms will likely continue
to develop ahead a squall line this afternoon and evening. The more
intense storms will likely be supercellular and pose a risk for
tornadoes, a couple of which may be strong. Scattered damaging
gusts and a risk for a tornado will also accompany the squall line
as it pushes east across the Watch area this afternoon through the
evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 5 miles east northeast of Oxford MS to
75 miles south southeast of Alexandria LA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 2 TORNADO AR LA MS 051935Z - 060300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
5ENE UOX/OXFORD MS/ - 75SSE ESF/ALEXANDRIA LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /47SE MEM - 27W BTR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 34408813 30399056 30399308 34409076
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 2 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Mod (40%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (30%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Low (20%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (20%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (80%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.