Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1462

   Mesoscale Discussion 1462
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0455 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

   Areas affected...portions of northern Georgia...the western
   Carolinas and eastern Tennessee

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 262155Z - 262330Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Ongoing clusters of multi-cell storms will continue to
   pose an isolated risk for locally damaging gusts and small hail into
   this evening. A locally greater risk may occur across north-central
   GA where stronger storms are occurring.

   DISCUSSION...As of 2145 UTC, regional radar/satellite imagery showed
   several clusters of semi-organized multi-cells ongoing from northern
   GA, through the western Carolinas, and into far eastern TN. Over the
   last several hours, reports of locally damaging winds and small hail
   have occurred as these clusters have shifted west/southwest within a
   broad area of moderate to large buoyancy (MLCAPE 2000-3000 J/kg).
   This trend appears likely to continue into early this evening as new
   updraft development/intensification continues on the flanks of these
   established storm clusters.

   A locally greater severe risk may develop in vicinity of the Atlanta
   Metro over the next couple of hours as a stronger multi-cell cluster
   has emerged. Several downbursts have been noted within this cluster
   as multiple strong updrafts have coalesced. While deep-layer flow
   remains limited, very large buoyancy and strong surging outflow
   could support isolated severe-caliber gusts in the 55-65 mph range
   into early this evening.

   ..Lyons/Guyer.. 06/26/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...

   LAT...LON   33608548 34748476 35728388 36258179 36098089 35498036
               34658149 33478354 33048476 33128516 33608548 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN