Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1412

   Mesoscale Discussion 1412
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0811 PM CDT Sun Jun 22 2025

   Areas affected...Western Texas Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 454...

   Valid 230111Z - 230315Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 454
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will continue to track eastward
   across the western TX Panhandle, posing a risk of locally damaging
   wind gusts.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms have organized into a line from Deaf
   Smith to Dallam Counties TX, moving eastward at 35 knots.  Locally
   damaging wind gusts have been reported in the last couple of hours. 
   Radar presentation suggests that outflow is now surging eastward
   ahead of the storms.  This suggests the storms may be near peak, and
   the threat for damaging winds should slowly diminish over the next
   1-2 hours.  Through that time, severe wind gusts will remain
   possible along the gust front and beneath strongest cores.

   ..Hart.. 06/23/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   34950267 36600223 36760140 35080148 34540241 34950267 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN