Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 445
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5 hours ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 445
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
630 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Much of North Dakota
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 630 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered severe thunderstorms are
forecast this evening into the early overnight period. Ample
deep-layer shear and steep lapse rates will support discrete
supercells posing a risk for large to very large hail and isolated
severe gusts. A small cluster of storms may eventually evolve over
the eastern half of the Watch later this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 110
statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles northeast of
Minot ND to 55 miles south southwest of Bismarck ND. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 441...WW 442...WW
443...WW 444...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 445 SEVERE TSTM ND 192330Z - 200600Z
AXIS..110 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
75NE MOT/MINOT ND/ - 55SSW BIS/BISMARCK ND/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 95NM E/W /66NE MOT - 49SSW BIS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
LAT...LON 49019768 46029890 46020348 49010254
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 445 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 445
VALID 200140Z - 200240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/20/25
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 445
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC005-007-009-015-019-021-025-027-029-031-037-041-043-045-047-
049-051-055-057-059-061-065-069-071-075-079-083-085-089-093-095-
101-103-200240-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENSON BILLINGS BOTTINEAU
BURLEIGH CAVALIER DICKEY
DUNN EDDY EMMONS
FOSTER GRANT HETTINGER
KIDDER LAMOURE LOGAN
MCHENRY MCINTOSH MCLEAN
MERCER MORTON MOUNTRAIL
OLIVER PIERCE RAMSEY
RENVILLE ROLETTE SHERIDAN
SIOUX STARK STUTSMAN
TOWNER WARD WELLS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 445
VALID 200035Z - 200140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/20/25
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 445
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NDC005-007-009-015-019-021-025-027-029-031-037-041-043-045-047-
049-051-055-057-059-061-065-069-071-075-079-083-085-089-093-095-
101-103-200140-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENSON BILLINGS BOTTINEAU
BURLEIGH CAVALIER DICKEY
DUNN EDDY EMMONS
FOSTER GRANT HETTINGER
KIDDER LAMOURE LOGAN
MCHENRY MCINTOSH MCLEAN
MERCER MORTON MOUNTRAIL
OLIVER PIERCE RAMSEY
RENVILLE ROLETTE SHERIDAN
SIOUX STARK STUTSMAN
TOWNER WARD WELLS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (<2%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (30%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (70%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
