Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1370

   Mesoscale Discussion 1370
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0334 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

   Areas affected...New York City into New England

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 441...443...

   Valid 192034Z - 192230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 441, 443
   continues.

   SUMMARY...As temperatures have warmed in New England, storms have
   shown some intensification recently. Wind damage remains possible
   late this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Strong to severe storms continue from the New York City
   vicinity into New England. With pockets of upper 80s/low 90s F in
   parts of New England, storms have actually shown a modest increase
   in intensity over the last couple hours. Activity has remained more
   cellular with southern extent. These cells will continue moving
   northeast through the afternoon. Isolated wind damage is possible.
   Farther north, Effective shear and forcing for ascent are greater. A
   linear segment is moving north-northeast in northern Vermont.
   Additional strong storms in southern Quebec may eventually impact
   portions of western/northern Maine. Even though temperatures have
   remained cooler in Maine, stronger forcing should still promote a
   wind damage threat.

   ..Wendt.. 06/19/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...

   LAT...LON   42017205 40907320 40607436 40907443 41297408 41607382
               42307355 44287333 45017303 46047234 46916954 46346909
               44427002 42017205 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH