Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1356
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Mesoscale Discussion 1356 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1356 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0648 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025 Areas affected...portions of eastern OH into western WV and western PA Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 182348Z - 190045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...A mature squall line continues to advance eastward with severe gust potential. This line is expected to advance east of ongoing Severe Thunderstorm Watches 436-437, necessitating a downstream Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance. DISCUSSION...A mature QLCS continues to propagate eastward, with recent reports of measured gusts in the 50-68 mph range in the past hour or so. This line will continue advancing eastward into a moderately unstable airmass, which will support additional strong to potentially severe gusts. As such, a downstream Severe Thunderstorm Watch will be needed soon. ..Squitieri/Smith.. 06/18/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN... LAT...LON 38368313 40548205 41498162 41908089 41938070 41678007 41167987 40498000 39718041 38818089 38358161 38368313 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN |
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2025-06-19 00:01:03