Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1352

   Mesoscale Discussion 1352
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0503 PM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of western and central North Dakota

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 182203Z - 190000Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A couple instances of marginally severe hail and locally
   severe wind gusts may accompany the strongest storms into this
   evening.

   DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are
   spreading southeastward across parts of western and central ND --
   ahead of a subtle midlevel impulse evident in the latest water-vapor
   loops. As around 35 kt of midlevel westerly flow (per regional VWP)
   accompanying this feature overspreads steep deep-layer lapse rates
   across the area, a couple loosely organized clusters will be
   possible. Marginally severe hail and locally severe gusts (around 60
   mph) will be possible with the stronger clusters that evolve into
   this evening.

   ..Weinman/Smith.. 06/18/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...GGW...

   LAT...LON   46820314 47590395 48400405 48880392 49060348 49060155
               48470029 47819974 47299967 46769983 46270031 46020103
               46170203 46820314 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN