Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 424
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5 hours ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 424
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
510 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far Northeast Colorado
Western Iowa
Far Northwest Kansas
Nebraska
* Effective this Monday afternoon from 510 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm intensity and coverage is expected to
increase across the region this afternoon/evening. Large to very
large hail up to 3" in diameter is possible with the initial more
cellular development. Development into one or more convective lines
is possible as well, with damaging gusts up to 75-80 mph as the
primary risk once this linear transition occurs.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north
northwest of Imperial NE to 25 miles east southeast of Denison IA.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 423...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Mosier
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 424
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
510 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far Northeast Colorado
Western Iowa
Far Northwest Kansas
Nebraska
* Effective this Monday afternoon from 510 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm intensity and coverage is expected to
increase across the region this afternoon/evening. Large to very
large hail up to 3" in diameter is possible with the initial more
cellular development. Development into one or more convective lines
is possible as well, with damaging gusts up to 75-80 mph as the
primary risk once this linear transition occurs.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north
northwest of Imperial NE to 25 miles east southeast of Denison IA.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 423...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Mosier
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 424 SEVERE TSTM CO IA KS NE 162210Z - 170500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40NNW IML/IMPERIAL NE/ - 25ESE DNS/DENISON IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /48E SNY - 54NE OVR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 41920191 42719493 40979493 40180191
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 424 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 424
VALID 170245Z - 170340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE AIA TO
15 WNW BUB TO 25 WNW OLU TO 10 ESE OMA TO 40 WNW DSM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1323
..WEINMAN..06/17/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...DMX...FSD...OAX...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 424
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC095-115-170340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
$$
IAC001-003-029-039-071-121-129-137-145-155-175-181-170340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS CASS
CLARKE FREMONT MADISON
MILLS MONTGOMERY PAGE
POTTAWATTAMIE UNION WARREN
$$
KSC023-039-065-137-147-153-179-193-170340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GRAHAM
NORTON PHILLIPS RAWLINS
SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
NEC001-005-009-019-023-025-029-035-041-047-049-055-057-063-065-
069-071-073-077-079-081-083-085-087-093-099-101-109-111-113-115-
117-121-125-131-135-137-143-145-153-155-159-163-175-185-
170340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ARTHUR BLAINE
BUFFALO BUTLER CASS
CHASE CLAY CUSTER
DAWSON DEUEL DOUGLAS
DUNDY FRONTIER FURNAS
GARDEN GARFIELD GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HAYES HITCHCOCK
HOWARD KEARNEY KEITH
LANCASTER LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MCPHERSON MERRICK
NANCE OTOE PERKINS
PHELPS POLK RED WILLOW
SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD
SHERMAN VALLEY YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 424
VALID 170025Z - 170140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1320
..WEINMAN..06/17/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...DMX...FSD...OAX...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 424
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC095-115-170140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PHILLIPS SEDGWICK
$$
IAC001-003-009-021-025-027-029-035-047-073-077-085-093-129-133-
137-149-151-155-161-165-193-170140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
BUENA VISTA CALHOUN CARROLL
CASS CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
GREENE GUTHRIE HARRISON
IDA MILLS MONONA
MONTGOMERY PLYMOUTH POCAHONTAS
POTTAWATTAMIE SAC SHELBY
WOODBURY
$$
KSC023-039-137-147-153-170140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR NORTON
PHILLIPS RAWLINS
$$
NEC001-003-005-009-011-017-019-021-023-025-029-035-037-039-041-
043-047-049-053-055-057-063-065-069-071-073-075-077-079-081-083-
085-087-089-091-093-099-101-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-125-135-
137-139-141-143-145-149-153-155-159-163-167-171-173-175-177-179-
183-185-170140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE ARTHUR
BLAINE BOONE BROWN
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CASS CHASE CLAY
COLFAX CUMING CUSTER
DAKOTA DAWSON DEUEL
DODGE DOUGLAS DUNDY
FRONTIER FURNAS GARDEN
GARFIELD GOSPER GRANT
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HAYES HITCHCOCK
HOLT HOOKER HOWARD
KEARNEY KEITH LANCASTER
LINCOLN LOGAN LOUP
MCPHERSON MADISON MERRICK
NANCE PERKINS PHELPS
PIERCE PLATTE POLK
RED WILLOW ROCK SARPY
SAUNDERS SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON THOMAS THURSTON
VALLEY WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (<2%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (60%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (40%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (90%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.