July 1, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1288

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Mesoscale Discussion 1288
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1288
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0353 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025

   Areas affected...Northeast Alabama into North Georgia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 142053Z - 142300Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Locally damaging winds may occur with marginally organized
   bands of convection. Storms are expected to weaken around sunset.

   DISCUSSION...A belt of modestly stronger mid-level winds is evident
   on regional VAD data near a weakening trough in the mid Ohio Valley.
   With strong daytime heating of a moist (low 70s F dewpoints)
   airmass, around 2000 J/kg MLCAPE has developed this afternoon. A few
   clusters of storms have become marginally organized this afternoon.
   A recent observed gust of 44 kts at the Rome, GA ASOS suggests
   near-severe/potentially damaging gusts are possible with this
   activity. As daytime heating wanes, storms should gradually decrease
   in intensity by sunset.

   ..Wendt/Thompson.. 06/14/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...GSP...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...

   LAT...LON   33648666 34968493 35208395 34978306 34208288 33858280
               33618306 33438359 33458467 33408525 33378607 33648666 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


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2025-06-14 20:56:03