Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1201

   Mesoscale Discussion 1201
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0135 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025

   Areas affected...portions of LA and southwest MS

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 081835Z - 082030Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorm clusters may produce sporadic strong gusts
   this afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms across northern LA will continue to
   propagate south/southeast this afternoon. Additional isolated storms
   have also developed further south from central LA into southern MS,
   likely along residual outflow and a band of differential heating.
   Large-scale ascent is somewhat nebulous across the region, but a
   band of moderate west/northwest flow aloft will persist. Strong
   heating an dewpoints well into the 70s F is supporting strong
   MLCAPE. Sporadic robust updrafts are possible over the next several
   hours and occasional strong gusts will be possible. While a severe
   thunderstorm watch is not expected immediately, trends will be
   monitored.

   ..Leitman/Guyer.. 06/08/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   32389332 32639188 32059089 31069121 30729248 30899328
               31729353 32149370 32389332 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN