Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1108

   Mesoscale Discussion 1108
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0134 AM CDT Wed Jun 04 2025

   Areas affected...Central and Northeast Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364...

   Valid 040634Z - 040830Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A threat for isolated large hail and wind damage may
   continue over the next few hours across central and northeast Texas.
   The severe threat is expected to be too isolated for weather watch
   issuance.

   DISCUSSION...A line of strong to severe storms is currently ongoing
   from the northern Texas Hill Country northeastward to southeast of
   the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex. The southwestern part of the line
   is near a cold front, with surface dewpoints in the lower 70s F. The
   very moist airmass is contributing to moderate instability, with a
   narrow axis of instability axis located just ahead of the front.
   Near the instability axis, the KGRK WSR-88D VWP has 0-6 Km shear in
   the 30 to 35 knot range, with winds veering from south to west from
   the surface to 2 km above ground level. This should continue to
   support an isolated severe threat over the next few hours, as the
   line move southward across the Texas Hill Country. The primary mode
   is expected to be linear, which will be favor isolated damaging wind
   gusts along short bowing segments. Hail will also be possible with
   the more intense cores embedded in the line.

   ..Broyles.. 06/04/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   31719820 31379935 31219968 30929992 30679993 30429983
               30089945 30099876 30389776 31219617 31909526 32499484
               32939477 33349498 33469525 33399552 33159581 32489644
               31949753 31719820 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN