June 7, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1098

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Mesoscale Discussion 1098
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1098
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0508 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025

   Areas affected...Central and south-central Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360...

   Valid 032208Z - 040015Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A local corridor of tornado risk continues to be evident
   in central and south-central Oklahoma.

   DISCUSSION...KTLX VAD continues to show low-level hodograph
   enlargement (200+ 0-1 km SRH). Over the past hour, line-embedded
   circulations have become evident west of the OKC metro. East of the
   line, discrete storms have continued to develop in central Oklahoma
   and south-central Oklahoma. Discrete storms near the OKC metro will
   likely interact with the line of storms in the next hour. Discrete
   storms in south-central Oklahoma have not been able to intensify so
   far as mid-level ascent is weaker with southern extent. Given the
   low-level shear profiles, a tornado risk will exist within even with
   a linear mode, but especially with any discrete storms that can
   persist into this evening.

   ..Wendt.. 06/03/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33949760 34399824 34609850 35019831 35249806 35509783
               35839763 35879710 35359678 34319691 34029710 33949760 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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2025-06-03 23:00:09