August 21, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1088

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Mesoscale Discussion 1088
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1088
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1153 PM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of west/southwest TX

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 030453Z - 030700Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated strong to locally severe storms will remain
   possible overnight.

   DISCUSSION...A few strong storms are ongoing across parts of
   west/southwest TX, within an environment characterized by moderate
   buoyancy and modestly favorable deep-layer shear. Glancing ascent
   associated with a shortwave trough moving across New Mexico and a
   moderate low-level jet may continue to support occasional strong
   storms and possibly an occasional supercell or two, with a threat of
   hail and localized severe gusts. Coverage of the severe threat is
   currently expected to remain isolated overnight, though
   observational trends will continue to be monitored for localized
   corridors of greater threat.

   ..Dean/Guyer.. 06/03/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

   LAT...LON   32410299 34410227 35380166 35380059 33859976 33309948
               32189952 31609980 31000042 30440150 30510295 31200304
               32410299 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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