Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1084

   Mesoscale Discussion 1084
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0728 PM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025

   Areas affected...Southwest and south-central Nebraska...northwest
   Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 356...357...

   Valid 030028Z - 030230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 356, 357
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A developing severe wind threat will soon impact northwest
   Kansas. The severe threat is also expected to increase in southwest
   and south-central Nebraska this evening. Severe wind gusts are the
   main concern, though isolated large hail is also possible.

   DISCUSSION...The strongest activity in WW 357 is within central
   Nebraska. Here, inflow to storms along the front has been more
   unstable/buoyant than farther northeast. The low-level jet is in the
   process of strengthening per the KGLD/KDDC VAD. This should help to
   sustain strong to severe storms into the evening. Furthermore,
   ascent from a shortwave trough in eastern Colorado should also
   contribute to an expansion of activity into southwest/south-central
   Nebraska. The exact evolution of this activity is uncertain. A
   cluster storms near Goodland, KS has shown a strong wind signature
   on KGLD radar and has had a history of measure 64-79 mph winds. As
   that activity continues north it will eventually interact with the
   front to the north. The growing cluster of storms in central
   Nebraska may also develop a strong enough cold pool to push
   southward into larger MLCAPE.

   ..Wendt.. 06/03/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...

   LAT...LON   39760010 38970083 38970120 39080163 39350198 39740204
               40770206 41450043 41759938 41559826 41319820 40759825
               40289893 39760010 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN