Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1064

   Mesoscale Discussion 1064
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0337 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of central into southeast Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352...

   Valid 012037Z - 012200Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The risk of large hail and severe wind gusts continues
   across Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352.

   DISCUSSION...A couple semi-discrete supercells continue to track
   southeastward along the stationary boundary from central into
   southeast TX -- along the east/southeastern periphery of around 2500
   J/kg MLCAPE. While these storms are generally becoming removed from
   this stronger instability, they will still pose a risk of isolated
   large hail and locally severe gusts in the near term. To their
   northwest, fresh updrafts are evolving along the stationary boundary
   near Waco TX. Given that these evolving storms will track
   southeastward through the strongest instability amid 40 kt of
   effective shear, gradual intensification into semi-discrete
   supercells is also possible -- posing a risk of large to very large
   hail and severe wind gusts.

   ..Weinman.. 06/01/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...FWD...

   LAT...LON   30089512 30389562 31319747 31609757 31859748 31959730
               31979695 31669625 31149526 30829481 30389470 30159479
               30089512 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN