Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1051

   Mesoscale Discussion 1051
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0621 PM CDT Fri May 30 2025

   Areas affected...Southeast Virginia Tidewaters

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 350...

   Valid 302321Z - 310045Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 350 continues.

   SUMMARY...Favorable low-level wind shear will continue to promote
   some tornado risk this evening as storms move into the Tidewaters.

   DISCUSSION...KAKQ VAD data shows sizeable low-level curvature early
   this evening. A few stronger storms are now moving into the
   Tidewaters region and will pose some risk for tornadoes over the
   next couple of hours. Low-level thermodynamics and mid-level lapse
   rates will tend to mitigate storm intensity to some extent. However,
   a very moist airmass and strong mid-level ascent will still allow
   some organized storms to persist into the evening.

   ..Wendt.. 05/30/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...

   LAT...LON   36977807 37507733 37567731 38037711 38177668 37987625
               37347614 36997622 36857697 36977807 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN