Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 346

Note: 
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   SEL6

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 346
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   350 PM CDT Thu May 29 2025

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Southeast New Mexico
     Far West into West and West-Central Texas

   * Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until
     1100 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 85
       mph likely
     Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3.5
       inches in diameter likely
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop
   over the northwestern half of the Watch this afternoon.  The
   stronger thunderstorms will likely become supercells and be capable
   of large to giant hail (1 to 3.5 inches in diameter).  A tornado is
   possible early this evening before additional storms congeal into an
   eastward-moving thunderstorm cluster.  Severe gusts ranging from
   60-85 mph are possible with the more intense downdrafts within the
   cluster.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
   statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west northwest
   of Carlsbad NM to 65 miles north northeast of San Angelo TX. For a
   complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
   update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   3.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 75 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
   28020.

   ...Smith

Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

   SAW6 
   WW 346 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 292050Z - 300400Z
   AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   15WNW CNM/CARLSBAD NM/ - 65NNE SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /56S CME - 18SW ABI/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..75 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.

   LAT...LON 33720451 33540007 30940007 31110451

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU6.

Watch 346 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.

Note:
 Click for Complete Product Text.

Tornadoes

Wind

Hail

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.