Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1027

   Mesoscale Discussion 1027
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0358 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025

   Areas affected...central Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 343...

   Valid 282058Z - 282230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 343
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Several supercells to persist through the afternoon with a
   primary threat of large hail.

   DISCUSSION...A few supercells have developed in central Texas and
   have recently started to turn right. The north-easternmost storm has
   recently produced baseball sized hail in Hamilton County, Texas. A
   favorable environment persists south of this activity which should
   maintain this threat through the afternoon and into the early
   evening. Eventually, these storms may congeal as they move southeast
   which would result in an increased severe wind threat. However, in
   the near term, large hail is the primary threat. 

   Farther southwest convective attempts continue but it remains
   unclear whether additional mature supercells may develop. If they
   do, a similar environment will support supercells capable of large
   to very large hail, similar to the storms farther east.

   ..Bentley.. 05/28/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...

   LAT...LON   30339818 30399893 30609995 30950037 31450035 32529993
               32789908 32469740 31019681 30449760 30339818 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN