Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1006

   Mesoscale Discussion 1006
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0454 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025

   Areas affected...southeast LA and southern MS

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 270954Z - 271130Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts are possible through the morning
   with an eastward-advancing line of storms.

   DISCUSSION...A line of storms across central/south-central LA will
   continue to shift east the next several hours. This activity is
   occurring within a modestly sheared environment and tracking along
   the MLCAPE gradient. Across southeast LA, dewpoints in the mid/upper
   70s F is supporting stronger, surface-based instability. This may
   foster a greater potential for severe gusts where surface-based
   storms are more likely. Nevertheless, strong gusts are possible
   northward into southern MS as the well-organized convection
   continues east.

   ..Leitman/Gleason.. 05/27/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

   LAT...LON   31639241 32169042 32208982 31818843 31018833 30328894
               29729005 29499099 29499188 29559229 29779264 31189270
               31639241 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN