Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 987

   Mesoscale Discussion 0987
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0242 AM CDT Mon May 26 2025

   Areas affected...portions of northeast TX

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329...

   Valid 260742Z - 260915Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe/locally damaging gusts remain possible across
   north/northeast TX in the short term. Some severe potential could
   persist outside of WW 329 and trends are being monitored for
   possible downstream watch issuance.

   DISCUSSION...An organized line of convection is currently moving
   south/southeast across the Metroplex, and a few severe gusts have
   been noted over the past hour. Convection appears to be keeping pace
   with the leading edge of outflow, likely in part due to a 25-30 kt
   southerly low-level jet feeding into the thunderstorm complex.
   Downstream, a moist and unstable airmass with little inhibition is
   place. If outflow does not surge too far ahead of the ongoing line
   of thunderstorms, some potential for sporadic severe/damaging gusts
   could persist into portions of east Texas. Trends will be monitored
   and local watch extensions or a new downstream watch may be needed.

   ..Leitman.. 05/26/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...

   LAT...LON   33369597 32699493 31979445 31619484 31449549 31289634
               31469717 31779758 32329783 32779794 33149795 33359751
               33459657 33369597 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN