Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 986

   Mesoscale Discussion 0986
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1242 AM CDT Mon May 26 2025

   Areas affected...North Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329...

   Valid 260542Z - 260715Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 329
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Damaging winds and isolated hail remain possible across
   North Texas the next couple of hours.

   DISCUSSION...A line of convection near/just south of the Red River
   has shown some recent signs of intensification/forward propagation
   as it moves south into a more unstable airmass and encounters the
   nose of a modest southerly low-level jet. An outflow boundary from
   storms further to the west is noted surging eastward toward the
   western periphery of the Metroplex. It is possible that some further
   intensification could occur as the southward-surging convection
   interacts with the eastward-developing outflow within the very moist
   and moderately unstable airmass. Damaging winds and isolated hail
   remain possible.

   ..Leitman.. 05/26/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33789678 33709597 33109580 32459633 32249687 32249742
               32379788 32539822 32839833 33199827 33589764 33789678 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN