Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 985

   Mesoscale Discussion 0985
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1143 PM CDT Sun May 25 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of central/south AL into west-central GA

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 328...

   Valid 260443Z - 260615Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 328
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Wind-damage potential may persist into the early morning.

   DISCUSSION...A rather long-lived and extensive QLCS continues to
   move across parts of central AL late this evening. An earlier bowing
   segment across northern AL has weakened, and both the northernmost
   and southernmost portions of the QLCS are tending to sag
   southeastward with time, with the gust front advancing ahead of the
   deeper convection. The most vigorous part of the QLCS at the moment
   is across west-central AL, where the line has taken on a more
   north-south orientation and is currently surging eastward. Favorable
   low-level moisture and moderate downstream buoyancy may help to
   sustain this portion of the line and the attendant wind-damage
   threat in the short term. 

   The longevity of the organized severe threat with this QLCS is
   uncertain, with low-level flow and deep-layer shear expected to
   remain modest at best. However, if the eastward-surging line segment
   can keep pace with the outflow, then some wind-damage threat could
   spread into east-central/southeast AL and west-central/southwest GA
   with time. Cells developing ahead of the line in the vicinity of the
   remnant outflow could also be strong to marginally severe into the
   early morning. Potential for any downstream watch issuance will
   depend on trends regarding QLCS organization and the downstream
   environment over the next 1-2 hours.

   ..Dean/Mosier.. 05/26/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   33138721 33678626 33448485 33258431 32638437 31848480
               31818577 31758743 31738786 31938817 33138721 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN