Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 251
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 PM CDT Thu May 15 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central Minnesota
West-Central Wisconsin
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM
until 800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Rapid thunderstorm development is anticipated within a
narrow warm sector moving into the region. Strong buoyancy and
robust deep-layer shear will support supercells capable of all
severe hazards, including very large hail from 2" to 3" in diameter,
strong gusts, and tornadoes, a few of which could be strong.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 15 miles south southwest of
Alexandria MN to 55 miles east of Eau Claire WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 20035.
...Mosier
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 251
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1245 PM CDT Thu May 15 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central Minnesota
West-Central Wisconsin
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1245 PM
until 800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Rapid thunderstorm development is anticipated within a
narrow warm sector moving into the region. Strong buoyancy and
robust deep-layer shear will support supercells capable of all
severe hazards, including very large hail from 2" to 3" in diameter,
strong gusts, and tornadoes, a few of which could be strong.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 15 miles south southwest of
Alexandria MN to 55 miles east of Eau Claire WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 20035.
...Mosier
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 251 TORNADO MN WI 151745Z - 160100Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15SSW AXN/ALEXANDRIA MN/ - 55E EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /74NNW RWF - 48E EAU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20035.
LAT...LON 46689552 45889036 43859036 44669552
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 251 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Mod (40%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (60%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.