Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1484

   Mesoscale Discussion 1484
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1038 PM CDT Fri Jun 27 2025

   Areas affected...South central North Dakota

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 468...

   Valid 280338Z - 280445Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 468 continues.

   SUMMARY...A couple of strong tornadoes possible through 04-05z.

   DISCUSSION...An increase in low-level shear with the evening
   transition, combined with boundary-layer dewpoints in the lower 70s,
   is helping offset the influence of near-ground stabilization.  The
   substantial increase in hodograph curvature will contribute to more
   leftward/inflow dominant tornado motions with mesocyclone
   occlusions.  This environment will also support the potential for a
   couple of strong tornadoes through 04-05z.

   ..Thompson.. 06/28/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BIS...

   LAT...LON   46090012 46440059 46930084 47160046 47169944 46989919
               46119927 46090012 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN