Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1445

   Mesoscale Discussion 1445
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0551 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025

   Areas affected...portions of southern Wisconsin

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 252251Z - 260015Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...A few strong storms may mature along a warm front,
   accompanied by damaging wind gusts and perhaps an isolated tornado.

   DISCUSSION...Small supercell structures have recently developed
   along a warm front across southern Wisconsin, where 1000-2000 J/kg
   MLCAPE is in place. The latest MKX VAD data shows a modestly curved
   low-level hodograph and over 400 m2/s2 of 0-3km SRH, which suggests
   that any supercell that can remain sustained will have a fair chance
   at producing a tornado. Convective trends will be monitored for the
   need of a watch issuance.

   ..Squitieri/Guyer.. 06/25/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MKX...ARX...

   LAT...LON   42708781 42568817 42628932 42729040 42999070 43429041
               43529008 43408904 43338872 43158804 42708781 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH