Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1366

   Mesoscale Discussion 1366
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1247 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

   Areas affected...central Arkansas into western Mississippi

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 191747Z - 191915Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts are possible this afternoon
   across central/southern Arkansas into western Mississippi

   DISCUSSION...Storms have developed along a trailing outflow boundary
   across central Arkansas and into western Mississippi early this
   afternoon. Shear is relatively weak (25 knots per LZK VWP) and will
   be weakening through the day. However, instability is very strong
   across the region (2500-3000 J/kg MLCAPE) which will support some
   threat for isolated damaging wind gusts. A watch is unlikely due to
   the unorganized and expected isolated nature of the threat this
   afternoon and perhaps into the early evening hours.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/19/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...

   LAT...LON   34989428 34729222 33979049 33139012 33139116 33669326
               33959393 34199434 34429444 34989428 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH