Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 415

Note: 
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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   SEL5

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 415
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   635 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Western into Central and Southern Oklahoma
     North Texas

   * Effective this Saturday evening from 635 PM until 1100 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
     Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
       possible
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...A few supercells are forecast mainly this evening within a
   very unstable airmass across portions of Oklahoma into the Red River
   Valley.  Large to very large hail appears to be the primary hazard,
   but a tornado cannot be ruled out with a storm preferentially
   interacting with an outflow boundary draped across the region. 
   Isolated severe gusts may become more prevalent later this evening
   as storms become more efficient at producing outflow.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
   statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest
   of Enid OK to 25 miles southwest of Sherman TX. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 414...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
   29010.

   ...Smith

   SEL5

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 415
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   635 PM CDT Sat Jun 14 2025

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Western into Central and Southern Oklahoma
     North Texas

   * Effective this Saturday evening from 635 PM until 1100 PM CDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
     Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
       possible
     A tornado or two possible

   SUMMARY...A few supercells are forecast mainly this evening within a
   very unstable airmass across portions of Oklahoma into the Red River
   Valley.  Large to very large hail appears to be the primary hazard,
   but a tornado cannot be ruled out with a storm preferentially
   interacting with an outflow boundary draped across the region. 
   Isolated severe gusts may become more prevalent later this evening
   as storms become more efficient at producing outflow.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
   statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest
   of Enid OK to 25 miles southwest of Sherman TX. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 414...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
   29010.

   ...Smith

Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

   SAW5 
   WW 415 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 142335Z - 150400Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   30WNW END/ENID OK/ - 25SW GYI/SHERMAN TX/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /26WNW END - 36N TTT/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29010.

   LAT...LON 36509734 33469594 33469802 36509950

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU5.

Watch 415 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 415

VALID 150050Z - 150140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..DEAN..06/15/25

ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 415 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC011-015-017-019-027-039-043-047-049-051-067-069-073-083-085-
087-093-095-099-109-123-125-137-149-153-150140-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BLAINE		     CADDO		 CANADIAN	     
CARTER		     CLEVELAND		 CUSTER 	     
DEWEY		     GARFIELD		 GARVIN 	     
GRADY		     JEFFERSON		 JOHNSTON	     
KINGFISHER	     LOGAN		 LOVE		     
MCCLAIN 	     MAJOR		 MARSHALL	     
MURRAY		     OKLAHOMA		 PONTOTOC	     
POTTAWATOMIE	     STEPHENS		 WASHITA	     
WOODWARD	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Note:
 Click for Complete Product Text.

Tornadoes

Wind

Hail

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.