Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1299

   Mesoscale Discussion 1299
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1014 AM CDT Sun Jun 15 2025

   Areas affected...portions of north-central Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 151514Z - 151715Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Occasional strong to severe gusts may persist over the
   next couple hours before storms weaken.

   DISCUSSION...A cold pool driven bowing segment continues southward
   across portions of north-central Texas this morning, with occasional
   gusts 50-60 mph. Radar velocity continues to indicate strong to
   severe winds 50-60 kts around 2-5 kft above the ground. Recent
   reports around 60 mph were noted in Knox County Texas. This line
   continues to move within a region of strengthening MLCIN across
   central Texas and is generally expected to weaken through time. As
   such, a watch will not likely be needed.

   ..Thornton/Thompson.. 06/15/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

   LAT...LON   33310014 33429988 33399896 33709848 33859828 33849798
               33709782 33479774 32719752 32329758 32219787 32019917
               32069955 32139979 32199990 32270000 33310014 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN