Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 412
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19 minutes ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 412
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
200 PM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Western Nebraska
Extreme southwest South Dakota
Eastern Wyoming
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to form and spread east of the
higher terrain, with the potential for clustering/upscale growth by
this evening. Large hail will be possible with the initial, more
cellular storms (especially across northeast Wyoming where a
supercell or two will be possible). However, severe outflow gusts
of 60-75 mph will become the main threat later this evening as storm
clusters spread east-southeastward over the High Plains.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest
of Gillette WY to 15 miles southeast of Akron CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 411...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28020.
...Thompson
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 412
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
200 PM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Western Nebraska
Extreme southwest South Dakota
Eastern Wyoming
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 200 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to form and spread east of the
higher terrain, with the potential for clustering/upscale growth by
this evening. Large hail will be possible with the initial, more
cellular storms (especially across northeast Wyoming where a
supercell or two will be possible). However, severe outflow gusts
of 60-75 mph will become the main threat later this evening as storm
clusters spread east-southeastward over the High Plains.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest
of Gillette WY to 15 miles southeast of Akron CO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 411...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28020.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 412 SEVERE TSTM CO NE SD WY 132000Z - 140400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NNW GCC/GILLETTE WY/ - 15SE AKO/AKRON CO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /50ENE SHR - 11SE AKO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.
LAT...LON 45010469 40020189 40020415 45010715
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 412 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (5%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (40%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (30%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (90%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.