Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 411
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4 hours ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 411
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
100 PM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and southeast Montana
North central Wyoming
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 100 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Supercell development is expected this afternoon into
central Montana and storms will spread eastward through late
evening. Large hail up to 2.5 inches in diameter will be a primary
threat, along with thunderstorm outflow gusts of 60-75 mph. There
is also a low threat for an isolated tornado or two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 115
statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north of
Lewistown MT to 60 miles south southeast of Billings MT. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Thompson
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 411
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
100 PM MDT Fri Jun 13 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and southeast Montana
North central Wyoming
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 100 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Supercell development is expected this afternoon into
central Montana and storms will spread eastward through late
evening. Large hail up to 2.5 inches in diameter will be a primary
threat, along with thunderstorm outflow gusts of 60-75 mph. There
is also a low threat for an isolated tornado or two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 115
statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north of
Lewistown MT to 60 miles south southeast of Billings MT. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 411 SEVERE TSTM MT WY 131900Z - 140300Z
AXIS..115 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
70N LWT/LEWISTOWN MT/ - 60SSE BIL/BILLINGS MT/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 100NM E/W /31SSE HVR - 44WNW SHR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 48040698 44970571 44971041 48041196
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 411 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (<2%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (40%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (60%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (90%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.