Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 410
4 min read
21 hours ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 410
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM MDT Thu Jun 12 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Western and Northern Nebraska
Southern South Dakota
Southeast Wyoming
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to continue to develop
regionally mainly near a southwest/northeast-oriented front, with an
unstable air mass and moderately strong wind profiles supporting
supercells and hail/wind potential, and possibly even a brief
tornado.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles east southeast
of Chamberlain SD to 75 miles south southwest of Torrington WY. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26025.
...Guyer
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 410
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM MDT Thu Jun 12 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Western and Northern Nebraska
Southern South Dakota
Southeast Wyoming
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to continue to develop
regionally mainly near a southwest/northeast-oriented front, with an
unstable air mass and moderately strong wind profiles supporting
supercells and hail/wind potential, and possibly even a brief
tornado.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles east southeast
of Chamberlain SD to 75 miles south southwest of Torrington WY. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 410 SEVERE TSTM CO NE SD WY 122055Z - 130500Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40ESE 9V9/CHAMBERLAIN SD/ - 75SSW TOR/TORRINGTON WY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /65N ONL - 10SSE CYS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
LAT...LON 42469858 39970470 42140470 44639858
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 410 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 410
VALID 122125Z - 122240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..06/12/25
ATTN...WFO...BOU...LBF...CYS...FSD...ABR...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 410
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC075-087-095-115-123-122240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MORGAN PHILLIPS
SEDGWICK WELD
$$
NEC005-007-013-017-029-031-033-045-049-069-075-091-101-103-105-
117-123-135-157-161-165-171-122240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BANNER BOX BUTTE
BROWN CHASE CHERRY
CHEYENNE DAWES DEUEL
GARDEN GRANT HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA KIMBALL
MCPHERSON MORRILL PERKINS
SCOTTS BLUFF SHERIDAN SIOUX
THOMAS
$$
SDC003-015-017-023-053-073-085-095-121-123-122240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BRULE BUFFALO
CHARLES MIX GREGORY JERAULD
LYMAN MELLETTE TODD
TRIPP
$$
WYC015-021-122240-
WY
. WYOMING COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOSHEN LARAMIE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (5%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (30%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (80%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.