Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1244

   Mesoscale Discussion 1244
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0439 PM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025

   Areas affected...portions of northeastern Georgia into western South
   Carolina

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 102139Z - 102315Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts cannot be ruled out with the
   stronger cells embedded within a loosely organized MCS. A WW
   issuance is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...A loosely organized MCS continues to track eastward
   amid a weakly forced/sheared environment. The MCS seems to be driven
   primarily by modest cold pool organization from multicellular
   mergers, with diurnal heating and associated surface-based buoyancy
   being the main factors supporting convective sustenance. Given
   1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE preceding the MCS, a couple of strong,
   damaging gusts may still occur over the next few hours. The severe
   threat should remain sparse at best, precluding a WW issuance.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/10/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...

   LAT...LON   33278266 33458361 33648371 33908360 34218336 34428303
               34538227 34368149 34088114 33678113 33448140 33278215
               33278266 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH