Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1236

   Mesoscale Discussion 1236
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1031 PM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025

   Areas affected...portions of west Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405...

   Valid 100331Z - 100500Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe gusts will remain possible with an approaching MCS
   for at least a couple more hours.

   DISCUSSION...A mature, cold-pool-driven QLCS is propagating eastward
   into a modestly unstable airmass (1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE). MLCINH is
   increasing due to nocturnal cooling, which may gradually limit the
   severe threat with time. However, in the near-term, scattered strong
   to severe wind gusts will remain possible as the long as the cold
   pool remains deep and strong. 

   A severe hail threat may also accompany a left-split supercell as it
   approaches the southern bounds of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/10/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   33050291 33540306 34220303 34590283 34720227 34560168
               34150123 33600111 33120132 32990185 33050291 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN