Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1228

   Mesoscale Discussion 1228
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0351 PM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025

   Areas affected...eastern Ohio...western Pennsylvania...far West
   Virginia...far southwestern New York

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 401...

   Valid 092051Z - 092145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 401
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe threat continues within WW401.

   DISCUSSION...Several broken segments of multi-cell clusters continue
   across WW401. A few instances of wind damage have been reported
   across northern PA and southern OH. A few cells have initiated out
   head of the main clusters but have struggle to maintain intensity.
   Ahead of the line, temperatures continue to warm, with MLCAPE around
   500 J/kg slowly advecting northward across New York state. As
   forcing for ascent continues to increase with the approaching wave,
   thunderstorm coverage will continue to increase. Damaging wind and
   severe hail continue to be a possibility with stronger cells.

   ..Thornton.. 06/09/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

   LAT...LON   39778278 40468225 41518095 42247953 42247888 42037865
               41577879 39998027 39238084 38768162 38648209 38528238
               38758299 39778278 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN