Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1227
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Mesoscale Discussion 1227 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1227 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0211 PM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025 Areas affected...eastern Kentucky...southern West Virginia...far western Virginia Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 091911Z - 092045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorms to continue eastward with a few instances of severe wind and hail possible. DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity continues eastward across portions of central/eastern Kentucky this afternoon. This has largely remained sub-severe, however, temperatures have warmed into the mid 70s to 80s ahead to this broken line, with MLCAPE around 250-500 J/kg. Flow across this region is generally weak. Deep layer shear around 25-30 kts may be sufficient for some organized segments capable of damaging wind. Given the weak flow for support, a watch is not likely to be needed but trends will be monitored through the afternoon/evening. ..Thornton/Mosier.. 06/09/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK... LAT...LON 37288451 38168387 38458267 38428182 38348100 38028067 36938122 36688282 36698441 37288451 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN |
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2025-06-09 20:04:03