Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1219

   Mesoscale Discussion 1219
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0413 AM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025

   Areas affected...portions of central to southeast Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 400...

   Valid 090913Z - 091045Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 400
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An isolated severe wind threat will persist for the next 1
   to 2 hours across parts of central Texas into southeast Texas.

   DISCUSSION...Convection has mostly weakened along the southward
   moving outflow boundary from southeast Texas into southern
   Louisiana. On the western periphery of the outflow boundary, across
   central Texas, stronger storms have persisted amid stronger
   instability and steeper mid-level lapse rates. Some stronger inbound
   velocities are present from the KGRK WSR-88D which could result in
   isolated severe wind reports. While additional strengthening of
   these storms appears unlikely, the environment should support some
   maintenance of ongoing storms with a continued threat for isolated
   severe wind gusts. 

   Farther east along the the outflow boundary, additional convection
   has started to develop across southeast Texas and southwest
   Louisiana. It is unclear whether these storms will be severe, but
   watch 400 will be maintained across this region despite the warm
   700mb temperatures, in case a few severe storms develop. Severe wind
   gusts from wet microbursts will likely be the primary threat from
   this activity.

   ..Bentley.. 06/09/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...FWD...EWX...

   LAT...LON   31529782 31369682 30899480 30939395 30989341 30719293
               30299299 30089341 29949526 30049642 30219740 30359778
               30569814 31049842 31529782 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN