Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 384
4 min read
7 hours ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 384
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
950 AM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East central Arkansas
Northern Mississippi
Southwest Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 950 AM until
400 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An organized convective line and lead cluster are expected
to merge into a single, larger/bowing line of storms through early
afternoon as the storms move across southwest Tennessee and northern
Mississippi. Damaging winds up to 75 mph will be the main threat,
though the strongest embedded storms could also produce large hail
up to 1.5 inches in diameter. An isolated tornado or two may also
occur with embedded circulations in the line.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles northeast of
Memphis TN to 35 miles south of Oxford MS. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 383...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Thompson
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 384
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
950 AM CDT Sat Jun 7 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East central Arkansas
Northern Mississippi
Southwest Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 950 AM until
400 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An organized convective line and lead cluster are expected
to merge into a single, larger/bowing line of storms through early
afternoon as the storms move across southwest Tennessee and northern
Mississippi. Damaging winds up to 75 mph will be the main threat,
though the strongest embedded storms could also produce large hail
up to 1.5 inches in diameter. An isolated tornado or two may also
occur with embedded circulations in the line.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles northeast of
Memphis TN to 35 miles south of Oxford MS. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 383...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 384 SEVERE TSTM AR MS TN 071450Z - 072100Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NE MEM/MEMPHIS TN/ - 35S UOX/OXFORD MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /25S DYR - 45ENE SQS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 35598795 33878822 33879084 35599062
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 384 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (5%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (30%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (20%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (90%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.