Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1176

   Mesoscale Discussion 1176
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1245 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of northern AL and far northeastern MS

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 384...385...

   Valid 071745Z - 071945Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 384, 385
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The risk of a swath of damaging winds is increasing across
   northern Alabama and vicinity.

   DISCUSSION...Recent radar trends from KGWX shows an increasingly
   organized cold pool accompanying an MCS tracking eastward from far
   northeastern MS into northern AL at 40 kt. Around 30-40 kt of
   line-normal 0-6 km shear (per VWP and mesoanalysis data) will favor
   continued organization -- especially as the the moist inflow (lower
   70s dewpoints) continues to diurnally destabilize. As the MCS
   continues eastward across northern AL and far southern Middle TN,
   the primary concern will be a swath of damaging winds (with embedded
   gusts as high as 75 mph possible) through at least 20Z. While less
   certain, an embedded/brief tornado cannot be ruled out with any
   mesovorticies that evolve along the leading gust front.

   ..Weinman.. 06/07/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

   LAT...LON   33668848 34308839 34558828 34808790 34868740 34838682
               34728643 34458613 33678619 33298653 33238755 33278801
               33398834 33668848 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN